مشاركة أرباح في شركة انستافوريكس - تحليلات يومية - دعم عربي

[Mohamed Samy]

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Considering The Hourly Chart of GBP/USD currency pair and the associated Linear Regression Channels:
GBP/USD has the shorter-term Violet & Blue channels which are bearish while the longer-term Yellow channel is still transverse tending to be slightly bullish.
Yesterday we suggested Selling the GBP/USD at 1.6245 which acted as an effective resistance level being successful to push the pair down to 1.6185 in short time. However, GBP/USD showed significant price action towards 1.6185 which corresponds roughly to the lower limit of the Yellow & Blue channels.
The GBP/USD is now testing the resistance area corresponding to the intermediate line of the Yellow channel & the upper limit of both Violet and Blue channels ranging between 1.6230-1.6245.
Success of the GBP/USD to breakthrough 1.6230-1.6245 paves the way for the GBP/USD pair to visit the upper limit of the Yellow channel located at 1.6290-1.6300.
Price levels 1.6290-1.6300 are expected to act as solid Intraday Resistance Levels pushing the pair to lower targets. However, Earlier breakdown of the lower limit 1.6180 will probably resume the bearish scenario towards 1.6150 and 1.6085.

Based on the previous analysis
The Market offers a low risk/reward SELL entry at 1.6290-1.6300 with TP levels at 1.6250,1.6150 then 1.6100 while SL should be located above 1.6350.
The Market offers a high risk/reward SELL entry On Bearish Closure below Price Level 1.6180 with TP levels at 1.6150 & 1.6100 while SL should be located above 1.6250.

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[Mohamed Samy]

Show full picture The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel at 1.3270 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break through these levels will release good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators provide buy-signals but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement
According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate has broken through its resistance of 1.3270 with the 1st objective at 1.3330 and then at 1.3350. A break through 1.3250 will invalidate this scenario.

[Mohamed Samy]

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USD/CAD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the USD/CAD pair started a trading day in sideways at the end of the 4 wave (coloured blue). During the Asian and European sessions we could observe low volatility (Asia and Europe had a bank holiday). Therefore in the early New York session the price tested the 0.9897 level. We can consider this move as the end of the 4 wave. The price did not manage to hold this level and the USD/CAD pair started pulling back towards the 0.9832 level. We can consider this move as the end of the 1 wave (coloured pink) of the bigger 5 wave. At the end of the New York session the price pushed back to the 100EMA resistance line. Today during the Asian session we observe low volatility and the price around 0.9850. We expect to see the price down in a 3 wave (coloured pink) of the bigger 5 wave. In accordance to our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (0.9896-0.9831-0.9864); the First Take Profit at 0.9809 (100% of wave 1) and Second Take Profit at 0.9769 (161.8% of wave 1). Stop Loss can be set at the invalidation point - 0.9897. Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the U.S ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Factory Orders m/m, Crude Oil Inventories and FOMC Member Lacker Speech, that can affect the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 0.9797 (S2) 0.9822 (S1) 0.9838 (PP) 0.9862 (R1) 0.9887 (R2) 0.9903 (R3) 0.9927
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why Short positions at level 0.9835 with Stop Loss at 0.9897, Take Profit 1 at 0.9809 and Take Profit 2 at 0.9769 are recommended.

[Mohamed Samy]

Forecast:

• At 0.9220 a strong level (Resistance) will be formed providing a clear signal for Sell-deals with the target seen at the 0.9040 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above 0.9255.
• At 0.9000 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for Buy-deals with the target seen at 0.91 level; 0.922. Stop Loss is to be placed below 0.8900.

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Overview:

USD/CHF:
It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points 0.93 and 0.90, i.e. above the strong resistance level 0.922. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9220 and is presently approaching it for the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below the 0.922 level. Sell-deals are recommended below 0.922 with the first target seen at the 0.9100 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards the 0.90 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.8950 - 0.9. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.905. Therefore it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behaviour. In other words, Buy-deals are recommended above 0.8950 -- 0.9 with the first target seen at the 0.9130 level and further at the 0.9200 level.

Weekly Technical Levels:


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[Mohamed Samy]

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TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level : 1.3301.
Strong Resistance : 1.3293.
Original Resistance : 1.3281.
Inner Sell Area : 1.3268.
Target Inner Area : 1.3237.
Inner Buy Area : 1.3205.
Original Support : 1.3193.
Strong Support : 1.3180.
Breakout SELL Level : 1.3172.

DESCRIPTION :

Today EUR/USD has support and resistance at 1.3193 and 1.3281 and is accompanied by strong support at 1.3180 and by 1.3293 as strong resistance.
If EUR/USD breaks out and closes below a 1.3172-level today, then this will indicate considerable bearish strength, while if EUR/USD manages to break out and close above a 1.3301-level, then this will denote high bullish strength. Alternatively, you can trade in a way to open a BUY position at the level of 1.3205, and at 1.3268– a SELL position, in this case both targets should be located at the level of 1.3237.

[Mohamed Samy]

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Considering the Hourly Chart of GBP/USD currency pair and the associated Linear Regression Channels:
GBP/USD has all of the Violet, Blue and Yellow channels directed downside and indicating significant bearish pressure during this week.
Yesterday, GBP/USD was not able to break through the resistance zone 1.6230-1.6245. Instead, it declined towards 1.6150 thus making a lower bottom than the previous one at 1.6185.
The GBP/USD pair has an intraday resistance zone ranging between 1.6205-1.6220, which corresponds to the upper limit of the Yellow and Blue channels respectively.
Although the GBP/USD pair has been downtrending for a few days, the view for the pair is neutral as I didn't witness frank bearish domination yesterday.
The GBP/USD pair has an intraday support level at 1.6150, which corresponds to the lower limit of the Yellow and Blue channels.
Success of GBP/USD breakthrough above 1.6220 will allow the pair to shoot at higher levels probably at 1.6262 initially.
Success of GBP/USD breaking through 1.6150 will allow the pair to visit lower levels, probably 1.6111 initially then 1.6080.
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[Mohamed Samy]

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move. During the European session we could observe a descending movement towards the 1.0320 level. Therefore during the early New York session the price continued trading in a bearish mood and reached the 1.0283 level. So AUD/USD did not manage to hold this level in a second half of the New York, and we could observe price to retrace to 50 EMA resistance. Today during the Asian session we could observe the price under the 1.0300 level again. We are awaiting to see it higher soon.
Presently we can see the end of the wave 2 (coloured pink). In accordance with our wave rules, taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0246-1.0473-1.0274); the First Take Profit at 1.0504 (100% of wave 1) and Second Take Profit at 1.0644 (161.8% of wave 1). As Stop Loss we can use the invalidation point at 1.0246. It is also necessary to consider the data concerning the U.S. Unemployment Claims, Prelim. Non-farm Productivity q/q, Prelim. Unit Labour Costs q/q, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, FOMC Member Williams Speech and FOMC Member Lockhart Speech, that can affect the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0254 (S2) 1.0280 (S1) 1.0297 (PP) 1.0324 (R1) 1.0350 (R2) 1.0367 (R3) 1.0394
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0320 with Stop Loss at 1.0246, Take Profit 1 at 1.0504 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0644 are recommended.

[Mohamed Samy]

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Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:
GBP/CHF went past the resistance barrier of 1.4790, which was holding since last 4 weeks. We expect this rally to gain momentum further after a test of past resistance which turned into support line, as depicted above in RED. The region of 1.4780/90 should provide support now. Furthermore, the channel support remains intact to give confidence to our bullish momentum. It is recommended to remain long for now.
Trade Recommendations:
Bought around 1.4700, stop at 106.00, targetting 1.5 levels in the sessions to come.

Best regards,

[Mohamed Samy]

AUD/USD is developing potential corrective wave B (light green in the chart) of medium term uptrend. Within this wave there are three subwaves (red in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 1.0354.
The targets below are Fibonacci expansions off 1.0473-1.0304-1.0354, 1.0354-1.0284-1.0337.
Supports:
- 1.0267 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0250 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0224 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0185 = OP
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0473-1.0284.
Resistances:
- 1.0356 = .382 retracement
- 1.0378 = .50 ret
- 1.0401 = .618 ret


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Overbought/Oversold
The larger wave is now moving down, so it's prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (10-30 pips above the current prices), watch for possibilities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.
Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels

[Mohamed Samy]

Considering the hourly chart of USD/CAD we can find the following:

The Yellow and Violet channels are both bullish due to the bullish moves achieved on last Monday and yesterday, while the Blue one is becoming transverse due to the yesterday's bearish reaction towards the upper limit of both Violet and Blue channels at Price Level of 0.9890 that occurred at the end of the yesterday’s session.
As for the intraday perspective, the USD/CAD pair may be forming a double bottom reversal pattern at 0.9805 which constituted the Intraday Support for the USD/CAD pair on Monday. However, a lack of bullish follow up and failure to break through 0.9890 yesterday is threatening this bullish scenario.
The USD/CAD currency pair will remain bullish as long as it is trading inside the Yellow channel above 0.9835 - 0.9850 which constitute the lower limit of both Yellow & Blue channels.
The double bottom pattern is probably targeting at 0.9935. However, at this moment a bearish breakout below the Yellow channel will invalidate the bullish scenario opening the way for a possible quick decline.
Bearish breakdown of 0.9835 will confirm another double top pattern at 0.9890 which will be targeting at 0.9770.

Based on the previous analysis:
It's recommended to have a BUY entry at 0.9835 - 0.9850 with SL below 0.9815 while TP levels are to be located at 0.9885 and 0.9935.
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